An insubstantial attacking threat could undermine Ceara's hopes of picking up a precious home win, and their opponents are in the form to capitalise.
Though undefeated in nine Brasileiro matches, the hosts' run must come to an end if they cannot start finding the net more regularly, and an improving Atletico are set to be the beneficiaries.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
0.29) 
-0.02) 
