Coritiba have much more quality than Saturday's hosts and with tough fixtures coming up, they will want to stamp their authority here to give them the momentum going into those games against Sao Paulo and Palmeiras.
They are one of the league's best goalscorers, going up against a team with a leaky defence, so they should have no problem winning this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
-0.08) 
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