Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.