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Sunday, April 28
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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Nov 7, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Castelao
C

Ceara
1 - 0
Cuiaba

Messias (48')
Jael (64'), Otavio (90+2'), Messias (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Elias (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
CearaDrawCuiaba
51.13%27.26%21.61%
Both teams to score 42.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.39%61.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.55%81.45%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63%24.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22%58.77%
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64%44.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58%80.42%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 51.12%
    Cuiaba 21.61%
    Draw 27.26%
CearaDrawCuiaba
1-0 @ 15.26%
2-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 8.76%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-1 @ 4.12%
4-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 0.97%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.61%

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