Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.84%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.
