Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.
