Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
