Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
