Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Santos had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.