Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.