SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Ceara |
| 43.78% | 25.87% | 30.34% |
| Both teams to score 53.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% | 51.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% | 72.87% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% | 23.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.92% | 57.08% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% | 30.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.72% | 67.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos | Draw | Ceara |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.34% |
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