Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.