Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
Result | ||
Corinthians | Draw | Fluminense |
43.83% | 27.05% | 29.13% |
Both teams to score 48.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.88% | 56.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.81% | 77.19% |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% | 25.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.75% | 60.25% |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.47% | 34.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.75% | 71.25% |
Score Analysis |
Corinthians | Draw | Fluminense |
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.13% |
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