Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
