Chapecoense
1 - 2
Fluminense

Perotti (61')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bobadilla (10'), Henrique (18')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Chapecoense and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Chapecoense	Draw	Fluminense
34.39%	28.44%	37.17%

Both teams to score 46.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.09%

59.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83%

80.17%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25%

32.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69%

69.31%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03%

30.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73%

67.27%

Score Analysis

Chapecoense 34.39%

Fluminense 37.16%

Draw 28.44%

Chapecoense	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.39%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.44%	0-1 @ 11.88% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.07% Total : 37.16%