Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
