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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Oct 6, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
B

Corinthians
3 - 1
Bahia

Guedes (45+4' pen.), Cantillo (52'), Jo (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gilberto (33' pen.)
Araujo (42')
Araujo (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 27.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawBahia
45.38%27.42%27.19%
Both teams to score 46.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.61%58.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21%78.99%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.57%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69%37.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.91%74.08%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 45.38%
    Bahia 27.19%
    Draw 27.42%
CorinthiansDrawBahia
1-0 @ 13.02%
2-0 @ 8.85%
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.44%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.19%

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