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Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Sep 13, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
SP

Fluminense
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Nino (50'), Henrique (66')
Nino (58'), Fred (57'), Claro (72'), Andre (85'), Bobadilla (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reinaldo (60' pen.)
Gomes (36'), Miranda (76'), Rigoni (80'), Neves (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawSao Paulo
30.45%29.17%40.38%
Both teams to score 43.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.98%63.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.52%82.48%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76%37.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98%74.02%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4%30.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.83%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 30.45%
    Sao Paulo 40.37%
    Draw 29.15%
FluminenseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 6.58%
2-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 30.45%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 13.49%
0-2 @ 7.99%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-3 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 0.93%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.37%

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