Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
