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P
Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Jan 26, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
VD

Palmeiras
1 - 1
Vasco

Lopes (31')
Kuscevic (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Benitez (35')
Benitez (29')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
PalmeirasDrawVasco da Gama
59.01%22.62%18.37%
Both teams to score 50.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6%48.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46%70.53%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94%16.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58%45.42%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77%40.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14%76.86%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 59%
    Vasco da Gama 18.37%
    Draw 22.61%
PalmeirasDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 6%
4-0 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.25%
5-0 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 59%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.88%
1-2 @ 4.9%
0-2 @ 2.68%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.37%

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