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Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Jan 17, 2021 at 12am UK
Estádio São Januário
C

Vasco
0 - 1
Coritiba


Matos (24'), Gomes (90+3')
Henrique (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moura (44')
Nathan (33'), Silva (42')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Coritiba.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCoritiba
48.07%27.47%24.46%
Both teams to score 44.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.84%60.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.64%80.35%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84%25.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13%59.87%
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31%40.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72%77.28%
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 48.06%
    Coritiba 24.47%
    Draw 27.46%
Vasco da GamaDrawCoritiba
1-0 @ 14.12%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 24.47%

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