Vasco
0 - 1
Coritiba

Matos (24'), Gomes (90+3')
Henrique (30')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moura (44')
Nathan (33'), Silva (42')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Coritiba.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Coritiba
48.07%	27.47%	24.46%

Both teams to score 44.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.84%

60.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.64%

80.35%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84%

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13%

59.87%

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31%

40.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72%

77.28%

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 48.06%

Coritiba 24.47%

Draw 27.46%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Coritiba
1-0 @ 14.12% 2-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.16% Total : 48.06%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.47%