Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Criciuma win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Criciuma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%).
0.8) 
-0.16) 
