Atletico Goianiense's only victories since gaining promotion have been against fellow strugglers, underlining their inadequacy against top-level opposition.
While stranger things have happened, Fortaleza should avoid any embarrassment against Dragao to notch a fourth consecutive league victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
-0.49) 
0.22) 
