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Sunday, April 28
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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Nov 11, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
B

Flamengo
3 - 0
Bahia

Barbosa (32' pen.), Michael (58'), Pereira (89')
Diego (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bahia (19'), Conti (30')
Bahia (42'), Rossi (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 11.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 3-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBahia
68.01%20.65%11.33%
Both teams to score 39.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39%53.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89%75.11%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14%14.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.81%43.19%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.41%53.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.97%87.02%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 68.01%
    Bahia 11.33%
    Draw 20.65%
FlamengoDrawBahia
1-0 @ 15.18%
2-0 @ 14.47%
3-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 9.03%
3-1 @ 5.74%
4-0 @ 4.38%
4-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 68.01%
1-1 @ 9.47%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 2.82%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.65%
0-1 @ 4.97%
1-2 @ 2.95%
0-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 11.33%

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