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Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Nov 2, 2021 at 7pm UK
Arena da Baixada
F

Athletico PR
2 - 2
Flamengo

Kayzer (63'), Bissoli (90+5')
Terans (5'), Heleno (21'), Kayzer (35'), Hernandez (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barbosa (17', 29')
Pereira (27'), Pereira (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
24.43%24.8%50.77%
Both teams to score 51.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62%50.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68%72.32%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71%35.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.05%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15%19.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.06%51.94%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 24.43%
    Flamengo 50.76%
    Draw 24.8%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.3%
2-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 3.8%
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 24.43%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-2 @ 9.16%
1-3 @ 5.14%
0-3 @ 4.94%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 2%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 50.76%

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