SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 38.53% | 26.97% | 34.5% |
| Both teams to score 50.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% | 54.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% | 75.76% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% | 27.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.04% | 62.96% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% | 29.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.01% | 65.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahia | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.5% |
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