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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jul 7, 2021 at 10pm UK
Castelao
AM

Fortaleza
4 - 0
America Mineiro

Ederson (45+2'), David (56', 62'), Torres (84')
Felipe (80'), Ederson (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alberto (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawAmerica Mineiro
50.42%26.55%23.03%
Both teams to score 45.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9%58.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23%78.77%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84%23.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96%57.04%
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54%77.46%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 50.41%
    America Mineiro 23.03%
    Draw 26.54%
FortalezaDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.85%
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 50.41%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 8.47%
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 23.03%

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