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P
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Jun 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
AM

Palmeiras
2 - 1
America Mineiro

Willian (39', 90+5')
de Paula (22'), Renan (26'), Jailson (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Geovane (38')
Ramon (67'), Sabino (79'), Geovane (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawAmerica Mineiro
59.61%23.43%16.96%
Both teams to score 45.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34%53.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85%75.15%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63%48.37%
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95%45.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.02%80.97%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 59.6%
    America Mineiro 16.96%
    Draw 23.43%
PalmeirasDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.81%
2-0 @ 11.95%
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 5.5%
4-0 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.19%
5-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 59.6%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.36%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.96%

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