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Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jul 3, 2021 at 11pm UK
Arena da Baixada
F

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Terans (2'), Babi (9')
Vitinho (34'), Babi (90+3'), Vinicius (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Torres (86')
Robson (30'), Ronald (34'), Pikachu (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFortaleza
48.02%27.45%24.53%
Both teams to score 44.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93%60.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71%80.29%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86%25.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14%59.85%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.41%40.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.81%77.19%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 48.01%
    Fortaleza 24.53%
    Draw 27.45%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 14.08%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 48.01%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 24.53%

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