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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 2, 2021 at 9pm UK
Castelao

Fortaleza
0 - 3
Atletico GO


Pablo Vojvoda (64'), Ederson (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Felipe (18' og.), Baralhas (76'), Montenegro (90+5')
Paulo (33'), Miguel (56'), Maranhao (70'), Igor (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawAtletico Goianiense
55.24%25.67%19.09%
Both teams to score 42.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15%58.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.65%79.35%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6%21.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6%54.39%
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.47%45.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65%81.35%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 55.23%
    Atletico Goianiense 19.09%
    Draw 25.67%
FortalezaDrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 15.02%
2-0 @ 11.57%
2-1 @ 9.11%
3-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 4.68%
4-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 55.23%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 9.74%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 7.67%
1-2 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 3.02%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 19.09%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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