Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
