Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
