Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
