A closely-fought contest is set to be played out on Thursday between two teams in buoyant mood and both will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points.
However, we feel that Internacional will just do enough to secure a slender victory at the Estadio da Serrinha and remain in the top four.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Goias had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Internacional in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Internacional.
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