Goias have competed hard and given themselves a chance to earn points in virtually every game, but they tend to hang back too often, playing rather deep in their third of the field, which Botafogo should be able to take advantage of.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
0.35) 
-0.11) 
