Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Santos had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (12.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Goias in this match.
