With Bragantino heading into this one on the back of some poor form, as well as a tiring trip to Uruguay in midweek, we can see the hosts nicking a positive result here.
Goias have started solidly on home soil following their promotion, so we can see the visitors enduring another tough day when they visit the Estadio Haile Pinheiro on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 35.62%. A win for Goias had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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