Gremio
4 - 3
Atletico Mineiro

Souza (6', 20'), Campaz (11'), Costa (59')
Thiago (37'), Costa (42'), Barbosa (71')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Dodo (26'), Vargas (35'), Hyoran (90+1')
Borrero (62')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Gremio 1-2 Atletico Mineiro

Gremio know they will have to throw caution to the wind to claim the three points on Thursday, and that could leave them vulnerable defensively, and we think Atletico Mineiro will take advantage to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
36.65%	27.32%	36.03%

Both teams to score 49.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.36%

55.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2%

76.79%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83%

29.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89%

65.1%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.45%

29.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.43%

65.57%

Score Analysis

Gremio 36.64%

Atletico Mineiro 36.02%

Draw 27.31%

Gremio	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.64%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 6.41% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.02%