Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 69.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Goias had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.01%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.