Guarani
0 - 2
Gremio

Benitez (22'), Morel (34')
Morel (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pyerre (56'), Pepe (86')
Henrique (28'), Barbosa (58'), Geromel (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Club Guarani and Gremio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 1-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Club Guarani	Draw	Gremio
31.1%	30.36%	38.54%

Both teams to score 40.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.45%

66.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.04%

84.96%

Club Guarani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.28%

38.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54%

75.45%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46%

33.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82%

70.18%

Score Analysis

Club Guarani 31.09%

Gremio 38.53%

Draw 30.36%

Club Guarani	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.57% Total : 31.09%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.98% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.36%	0-1 @ 14.18% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-3 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.53%