Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.