Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
