Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.36) 
-0.41) 
