Botafogo should be encouraged by their victory last time out, but they face a particularly tough test, and we see the hosts just outclassing their newly-promoted opponents and taking all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
