Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
