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AP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 28, 2021 at 12am UK
Arena da Baixada
C

Athletico PR
2 - 2
Chapecoense

Khellven (37'), Heleno (60')
Ivaldo (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ignacio (26'), Geuvanio (90+4')
Lima (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawChapecoense
50.62%27.44%21.94%
Both teams to score 42.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.1%61.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.34%81.66%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26%24.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71%59.28%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.82%44.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.73%80.27%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 50.61%
    Chapecoense 21.94%
    Draw 27.43%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawChapecoense
1-0 @ 15.26%
2-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 4.06%
4-0 @ 1.73%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 50.61%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 0.99%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.94%

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