Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match.
Result | ||
Flamengo | Draw | Chapecoense |
62.61% | 20.12% | 17.27% |
Both teams to score 56.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.84% | 39.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.51% | 61.49% |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.03% | 11.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.63% | 37.37% |
Chapecoense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.98% | 36.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.2% | 72.79% |
Score Analysis |
Flamengo | Draw | Chapecoense |
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 7.02% 3-0 @ 6.88% 4-1 @ 3.73% 4-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.94% Total : 62.61% | 1-1 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 5.07% 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.12% | 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-1 @ 4.4% 0-2 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.5% Total : 17.27% |
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