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Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jul 11, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
C

Flamengo
2 - 1
Chapecoense

De Arrascaeta (78'), Michael (82')
De Arrascaeta (23'), Pereira (66'), Vitinho (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Perotti (67')
Busanello (29'), Jose Marques Maciel (38'), Ramon (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawChapecoense
62.61%20.12%17.27%
Both teams to score 56.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84%39.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51%61.49%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03%11.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.63%37.37%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98%36.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2%72.79%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 62.61%
    Chapecoense 17.27%
    Draw 20.12%
FlamengoDrawChapecoense
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 9.15%
3-1 @ 7.02%
3-0 @ 6.88%
4-1 @ 3.73%
4-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 3.59%
4-2 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.58%
5-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 62.61%
1-1 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 5.07%
0-0 @ 4.31%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-1 @ 4.4%
0-2 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.72%
1-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.27%

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