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Thursday, March 28
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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jul 9, 2021 at 1am UK
Arena Conda
C

Chapecoense
0 - 1
Corinthians


Ravanelli (58'), Jose Marques Maciel (78'), Leite Morais (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jo (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Corinthians in this match.

Result
ChapecoenseDrawCorinthians
27.14%28.89%43.97%
Both teams to score 42.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.73%63.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.33%82.66%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.93%40.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28%76.72%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.52%
Score Analysis
    Chapecoense 27.13%
    Corinthians 43.97%
    Draw 28.88%
ChapecoenseDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 6%
2-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 27.13%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 14.35%
0-2 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-3 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.16%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 43.97%

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