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S
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 27, 2021 at 11pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
F

Santos
2 - 0
Fluminense

Madson (33'), Tardelli (62')
Zanocelo (43'), Marinho (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kennedy (43'), Apis (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawFluminense
40.9%29.01%30.1%
Both teams to score 43.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.4%62.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.82%82.18%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91%30.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78%66.22%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72%37.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93%74.07%
Score Analysis
    Santos 40.89%
    Fluminense 30.09%
    Draw 29%
SantosDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13.47%
2-0 @ 8.09%
2-1 @ 7.98%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 0.97%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 11.21%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 11.06%
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 30.09%

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