Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
