Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
