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SP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jul 17, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio do Morumbi
F

Sao Paulo
0 - 1
Fortaleza


Rojas (36'), Pele (43'), Galeano (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Robson (74')
Titi (45'), David (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawFortaleza
56.21%25.55%18.24%
Both teams to score 41.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61%59.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23%79.77%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77%21.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88%54.12%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.13%46.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.62%82.38%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 56.2%
    Fortaleza 18.24%
    Draw 25.54%
Sao PauloDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 15.41%
2-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 4.68%
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 3.43%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.54%
1-2 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 18.24%

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