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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jul 12, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
C

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Corinthians

Robson (19')
Felipe (24'), Crispim (29'), de Souza (80'), Pikachu (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gil (41'), Cantillo (43'), Marquinhos (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
44.93%27.84%27.22%
Both teams to score 45.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15%59.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.88%80.12%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43%26.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21%61.78%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91%38.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.15%74.84%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 44.93%
    Corinthians 27.22%
    Draw 27.83%
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.41%
2-0 @ 8.89%
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 44.93%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.22%

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